2016 Review of Construction Activity Trends in the Medical Sector

The commencement of enabling works on the New Children’s Hospital in 2016, with its updated value of €200m to €950 million, sees a growth of 245% in On-Site values to almost €1.1 billion in 2016 versus 2015. The number of Medical & Care Residential projects has actually fallen by 2% in 2016 from 186 to 183 projects.
*The increased value of the New Childrem’s Hospital to €950m will further skew the data in future reports.

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Fig. 23

While the volume of projects on site in the Medical & Care Residential sector has remained static, the volume of primary care/surgery projects on site has increased by 43% when compared with 2015 (Fig. 24).  This trend is in line with the Government pledge to take the pressure off the acute hospitals by treating patients in the community.

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Fig. 24

Future Pipeline of Medical & Care Residential Projects

The number of projects granted planning in 2016 has fallen by 11% year on year with only 224 projects granted planning. Almost €1.2 billion in projects has been granted planning permission with the New Children’s Hospital representing the majority of the total at €950 million.

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Fig. 25

The sector is trending downwards with only 222 projects submitted for planning in 2016, down from 282 in 2015 or minus 21%. All regions are experiencing this decline (Fig. 26)

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Fig. 26

 

Medical and Care Residential Sector Activity: Q1-Q3 2016

Medical & Care Residential Sector

The Medical Sector has shown an increase in activity in the first 9 months of 2016. CIS estimate that over €1 billion’s worth of projects have gone On-Site in Q3 2016 (Fig. 17). This is an increase of over 300% on the same period last year.

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Fig. 17

This massive jump can be accredited to the €750m National Children’s Hospital where enabling works have begun for the new hospital at St James, Dublin. If we remove this hospital from our data we get a more modest 14% increase in project value for the period. In terms of the regional breakdown, all regions have shown growth for the 9 months.

17

The €750m National Children’s Hospital at On-Site Stage

Future Pipeline of Medical & Care Residential Projects

The number of projects which have been granted planning permission in the first 9 months of 2016 has fallen by 9% (Fig. 18), but when we look at from a value perspective, we see growth of 90% for the 9 months year on year, due to the National Children’s Hospital being granted permission in Q2 2016 (Fig. 19).

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Fig. 18

A trend of decline in investment appears to be emerging with the number of projects granted planning down 24% to 56 in Q3 compared with Q2 2016. This trend can be further evidenced in Plans Submitted with a 17% decrease in projects for the first 9 months of 2016 when compared with 2015.

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Fig. 19